Microsoft is entering a rare phase where only one Windows version is actively supported: Windows 10 is no longer supported, and Windows 11 is quickly approaching its fifth anniversary, which typically marks the end of mainstream support. This strongly suggests that a new version, likely called Windows 12, is approaching soon.
Based on Microsoft’s past patterns, the next Windows could revive ideas from earlier failed experiments. Microsoft has a history of recycling concepts: Edge was reborn using Chromium, Cortana’s failure evolved into Copilot, and even the disastrous ARM-based Surface RT seems to be influencing current strategy. Similar attempts, such as Windows 10 S and Windows 10X, have tried to create a lightweight, locked-down OS with improved security, instant-on capabilities, fewer legacy issues, and containerized apps. Although both were shelved, many of their concepts will likely resurface in the next Windows release.
AI will be central. Microsoft is pushing Copilot everywhere, and the next Windows may require Copilot+-grade hardware, including an NPU and higher RAM and storage. This could lock out many older PCs, much like Windows 11’s strict requirements. App installation may also change. Microsoft could restrict the Home edition to apps from trusted sources like the Microsoft Store or Winget, with legacy Win32 apps only allowed on Pro/Enterprise editions, and likely sandboxed or cloud-isolated.
A shift to subscriptions is increasingly likely. Instead of traditional Home and Pro editions, Microsoft could ship a basic “Windows Core” with new PCs and offer advanced features via a paid subscription similar to how Microsoft 365 E3/E5 works for enterprises. If Microsoft sticks to previous release cycles, Windows 12 development will ramp up in 2026, with a preview in mid-2027 and a full release around October 2027. The name might be Windows 12, but Microsoft could also choose something more dramatic to signal a major shift.